Thursday, July 9, 2020

Two Boys for Every Girl!

Next Swims:  
     Mon-Fri @ 6 am and 5 pm, 
          Saturday/Sunday Noon at Klode   
Last Swim:  Thursday @ 5 pm
Water Temp:  71
Air Temp:  76
Clarity:   kinda, but not terribly.  6/10
Waves: steady 10" - 12" swells
Kru:  Mr. Bubble, Itch, 2-Ply, Laguna, Mrs. Laguna, Kahuna (2nd Shift)
Guest Stars:  Mike (last seen "couple years ago"), Rachel, Heather


And we're goin' to Surf City, 'cause it's two to one
You know we're goin' to Surf City, gonna have some fun
You know we're goin' to Surf City, 'cause it's two to one
You know we're goin' to Surf City, gonna have some fun, now

Two boys for every girl!!


Always interesting to see who shows up for each swim and how the group assembles, as some people arrive early, others arrive later.  At first, it looked like it was just going to be a Boys Club swim day, until we actually got in the water.  I've just barely swam past the rocks when I notice a woman swimmer zoom past me - Mrs. Laguna.  When I arrive back at shore, two more women, Rachel and Heather, are getting ready to head out.  Laguna is hanging back at the beach, watching his kids, while Ms. Laguna is out swimming faster than a speeding bullet.  Mrs. L comes back so Mr. L can take his turn.  

Tonight's Big News and Killepitsch toast subject:
WE LOVE THE WARM WATER!
This is such a big story, it was even picked up by TMJ4 Weather

READY FOR A SWIM?
LAKE MICHIGAN IS HEATING UP!
Posted at 1:01 PM, Jul 09, 2020

and last updated 1:01 PM, Jul 09, 2020

Lake Michigan is heating up!
Surface temperatures on the lake are largely in the 70s, low to mid-70s on the west side of the lake, with upper 70s to low 80s on the east side.
Jul8lake.PNG
Lake Michigan surface temperatures as of July 8
So how do these temperatures compare to normal? Well above average!
lakemsurfacejuly9.PNG
This graph shows that Lake Michigan surface temperatures are running well above normal
The graph compares the current average Lake Michigan surface temperature to the long term average (1992-2019). It's easy to see the red line, representing 2020 surface temperatures, has climbed quickly in the last few weeks. The average surface temperature of the lake is not just above the July normal, but has now exceeded the average warmest temperatures normally experienced on the lake. The average surface temperature normally peaks in August at around 70-degrees, and we are already well above that.
However, this is not the first time we have seen Lake Michigan temperatures climb above average. We don't have to look too far back in time to find another above average year.
2018lake.PNG
2018 Lake Michigan temperatures compared to average
In 2018, Lake Michigan temperatures similarly climbed above average in late June and early July, and stayed above normal through most of the summer.
So what is the reason for the big jump in Lake Michigan surface temperatures? It's no surprise that temperatures over the last few weeks have been largely above average for us in Southeast Wisconsin. But it's not just here, temperatures for our Lake M neighbors in parts of Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan have been running above normal as well, contributing to the warm-up.

lastten.JPG
But it's not just the warm temperatures, it's a combination of the heat AND the lack of wind. The weather set up over the last few weeks has featured relatively weak winds. Without the wind to help stir up the lake, creating waves and upwelling, surface water temperatures have surged.
Notice, the subsurface water temperatures are still cool, in the 40s and 50s.
July8bottom.PNG
At the bottom of Lake Michigan, temperature readings are still in the 40s
Better mixing of the bottom water and the surface water would help to cool temperatures back down. Until we get some significant wind, lake temperatures will continue to run above normal.

4 comments:

Super Hera said...

Curious about update from this morning given the storm last night. May try to get out before the 5pm meet.

Unknown said...

^yeah, do you guys swim after a big storm like that? I kinda want to but i'm not sure if that's safe with potentially contaminated runoff.

Showgirl said...

We swam. It was great.

Showgirl said...

The Klode Kru does not fret about "potentially contaminated runoff."

(haha, actually, it did cross my mind, but only as we were returning from a delightful swim. No ill effects yet.)